JAKARTA, KOMPAS.com– The weakening of the rupiah which made the Indonesian currency one of the weakest in Asia occurred when the prospects for national economic growth began to face pressure from the worsening global situation.
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in its OECD Economic Outlook June 2026 report published on Wednesday (3/6/2026) still places Indonesia as one of the countries with relatively high growth in the region.
然而，印尼经济扩张步伐预计今年将放缓，然后在 2027 年再次加强。
另请阅读：5.61%的经济增长背后，印尼盾和购买力面临压力
Shutterstock/Travis182 卢比插图。
At the same time, the weakening of the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar is one of the factors that has received attention from the OECD.
The agency noted that the rupiah’s depreciation of around 6 percent since the beginning of the year has increased the risk of domestic inflation, especially through rising import costs and the subsequent impact of soaring global energy prices.
This condition shows that although Indonesia’s fundamental growth is still supported by domestic consumption and investment, external pressure remains a challenge that cannot be ignored.
In its latest report, the OECD projects that Indonesia’s economic growth will reach 4.7 percent in 2026, lower than the 2025 realization and projection of 5.1 percent.
另请阅读：乐观地展望 2027 年经济增长 6.5%
预计印度尼西亚的经济增长将在 2027 年再次增强至 5%。
KOMPAS.com/SAKINA RAKHMA DIAH SETIAWAN The weakening of the rupiah which made the Indonesian currency one of the weakest in Asia occurred when the prospects for national economic growth began to face pressure from the worsening global situation.
This projection places Indonesia in a relatively better position compared to many other countries affected by the global economic slowdown due to conflict in the Middle East and soaring energy prices.
经合组织特别指出，与其他亚洲国家相比，预计印度尼西亚的经济增速只会温和放缓，因为印度尼西亚对中东能源进口的依赖程度较低。
“Indonesia is projected to experience a more moderate decline in growth, partly due to lower dependence on energy imports from the Middle East, with growth slowing from 5.1 percent in 2025 to 4.7 percent in 2026, followed by a recovery to 5.0 percent in 2027,” wrote the OECD.
另请阅读：2027 年 APBN 重点推动经济增长，目标达到 6.5%
然而，由于全球能源价格上涨、借贷成本上升以及全球政策不确定性增加，经济放缓仍然不可避免。
根据经合组织的数据，印尼经济实际上正以相当稳健的状态进入 2026 年。
2026年第一季度实际国内生产总值（GDP）增长5在强劲的国内需求的推动下，同比增长 0.6%（同比）。
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